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Red115
2551.3
566619.7
10236.3
Blue50
412230.6
127933.1
851321.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1179405015011550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#5
51.30.5
51.151.6
Auto10.3
Teleop33.1
End7.2
red by 18.3
1279
#19
33.12.7
36.733.9
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End5.3
Second
102
#7
36.30.5
36.036.5
Auto13.8
Teleop15.3
End7.4
red by 5.7
4122
#11
30.62.7
31.028.3
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.2
Third
19.70.5
20.220.7
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End5.8
blue by 1.7
8513
#26
21.32.7
23.520.7
Auto9.4
Teleop7.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed