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Red119
851321.3
260152.5
36941.5
Blue48
465222.1
911618.4
108931.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1247905010015020011948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2601
#14
52.50.6
49.249.8
Auto14.4
Teleop29.1
End8.9
red by 21.0
1089
#20
31.52.1
34.432.3
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End7.8
Second
369
#17
41.50.6
40.340.9
Auto8.3
Teleop24.6
End8.7
red by 19.4
4652
#27
22.12.1
24.222.1
Auto11.3
Teleop6.3
End4.6
Third
8513
#26
21.30.6
20.721.3
Auto9.4
Teleop7.1
End4.7
red by 2.9
9116
#41
18.42.1
20.418.4
Auto8.0
Teleop6.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsMissed