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Red81
10236.3
245818.4
21922.6
Blue127
314242.7
162620.0
465325.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809105010015020081127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
#7
36.30.3
36.536.8
Auto13.8
Teleop15.3
End7.4
blue by 6.4
3142
#22
42.70.4
40.641.0
Auto11.5
Teleop23.6
End7.9
Second
219
#21
22.60.3
21.722.0
Auto8.3
Teleop8.1
End6.5
blue by 2.8
4653
#35
25.40.4
25.025.4
Auto6.8
Teleop12.5
End6.2
Third
2458
#39
18.40.3
18.018.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.8
End2.6
blue by 1.6
20.00.4
17.918.3
Auto10.0
Teleop3.6
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned