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Red103
580025.8
412230.6
249540.8
Blue29
999910.1
689730.1
99986.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10952010015020010329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2495
#15
40.80.5
41.141.6
Auto10.0
Teleop21.8
End8.0
red by 10.7
6897
#30
30.11.7
31.830.1
Auto9.6
Teleop16.3
End3.9
Second
4122
#11
30.60.5
28.328.8
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.2
red by 20.5
9999
#24
10.12.8
13.010.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End2.1
Third
5800
#12
25.80.5
26.126.6
Auto9.9
Teleop9.2
End6.8
red by 19.0
9998
#36
6.82.8
9.66.8
Auto3.7
Teleop0.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed