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Red63
22233.1
30315.0
255413.3
Blue111
589563.0
71415.4
573222.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6210905010015063111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#31
33.10.7
33.833.1
Auto6.5
Teleop20.5
End5.8
blue by 29.9
63.00.7
60.561.1
Auto14.5
Teleop35.8
End9.9
Second
303
#40
15.00.7
15.715.0
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End4.6
blue by 7.9
5732
#16
22.90.7
20.621.2
Auto7.9
Teleop10.9
End4.3
Third
2554
#34
13.30.7
14.013.3
Auto6.9
Teleop3.7
End2.9
blue by 2.1
714
#29
15.40.7
14.715.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsEarned