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Red177
21922.6
192358.9
253968.6
Blue110
691129.8
36941.5
871418.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16883050100150200177110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.3
68.068.2
Auto15.1
Teleop42.0
End10.2
red by 27.1
369
#17
41.50.5
40.941.4
Auto8.3
Teleop24.6
End8.7
Second
58.90.3
58.258.5
Auto12.7
Teleop37.9
End9.3
red by 29.0
6911
#18
29.80.5
29.329.7
Auto13.1
Teleop11.3
End5.5
Third
219
#21
22.60.3
22.022.3
Auto8.3
Teleop8.1
End6.5
red by 3.8
8714
#10
18.80.5
18.218.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End7.7