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Red161
33331.2
260152.5
179651.4
Blue85
127933.1
10236.3
7531.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411045020016185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2601
#14
52.50.8
49.850.5
Auto14.4
Teleop29.1
End8.9
red by 16.3
102
#7
36.30.4
36.836.4
Auto13.8
Teleop15.3
End7.4
Second
51.40.8
48.649.4
Auto11.0
Teleop30.2
End9.8
red by 18.4
1279
#19
33.10.4
33.633.2
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End5.3
Third
333
#28
31.20.8
28.429.1
Auto6.7
Teleop18.1
End6.3
blue by 0.2
75
#13
31.40.4
32.031.6
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End5.6