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Red168
21922.6
192358.9
253968.6
Blue148
69454.5
589563.0
412230.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16214050100200250168148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.4
68.568.8
Auto15.1
Teleop42.0
End10.2
red by 5.6
63.00.1
62.462.3
Auto14.5
Teleop35.8
End9.9
Second
58.90.4
58.859.1
Auto12.7
Teleop37.9
End9.3
red by 4.4
694
#3
54.50.1
53.953.8
Auto8.9
Teleop39.8
End3.9
Third
219
#21
22.60.4
22.522.9
Auto8.3
Teleop8.1
End6.5
blue by 8.0
4122
#11
30.60.1
30.130.0
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.2