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Red104
314242.7
573222.9
162620.0
Blue159
179651.4
260152.5
33331.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82148050100200250104159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3142
#22
42.70.4
42.242.7
Auto11.5
Teleop23.6
End7.9
blue by 9.9
2601
#14
52.50.5
51.051.5
Auto14.4
Teleop29.1
End8.9
Second
5732
#16
22.90.4
22.522.9
Auto7.9
Teleop10.9
End4.3
blue by 28.5
51.40.5
49.850.4
Auto11.0
Teleop30.2
End9.8
Third
20.00.4
19.520.0
Auto10.0
Teleop3.6
End6.4
blue by 11.2
333
#28
31.20.5
29.630.1
Auto6.7
Teleop18.1
End6.3