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Red170
412230.6
589563.0
69454.5
Blue178
179651.4
260152.5
33331.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143141120130150160170170178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.00.6
62.363.0
Auto14.5
Teleop35.8
End9.9
red by 10.4
2601
#14
52.51.0
51.552.5
Auto14.4
Teleop29.1
End8.9
Second
694
#3
54.50.6
53.854.5
Auto8.9
Teleop39.8
End3.9
red by 3.0
51.41.0
50.451.4
Auto11.0
Teleop30.2
End9.8
Third
4122
#11
30.60.6
30.030.6
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End6.2
blue by 0.6
333
#28
31.21.0
30.131.2
Auto6.7
Teleop18.1
End6.3