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Red80
127934.7
207021.7
573221.7
Blue91
192335.2
19327.4
10224.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798540601001201408091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.5
34.935.3
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End7.1
blue by 0.5
35.21.1
32.533.6
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End10.6
Second
2070
#22
21.70.5
21.622.1
Auto7.5
Teleop7.8
End6.4
blue by 5.7
193
#5
27.41.1
24.625.7
Auto12.2
Teleop9.4
End5.7
Third
5732
#18
21.70.5
18.318.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End7.8
blue by 2.6
102
#26
24.21.1
21.822.9
Auto10.1
Teleop9.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned