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Red69
245817.4
181122.3
167219.9
Blue40
11439.1
48420.4
257720.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5452204060801006940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#11
22.31.6
17.919.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End6.5
red by 1.8
2577
#14
20.50.8
21.020.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End6.4
Second
1672
#20
19.91.6
17.018.7
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End8.5
blue by 0.5
484
#31
20.40.8
20.019.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End7.9
Third
2458
#24
17.41.6
15.717.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.2
End5.8
red by 8.3
1143
#37
9.10.8
8.27.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsEarned14%Activation oddsMissed