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Red101
192335.2
22332.8
573221.7
Blue83
257720.5
10224.2
436126.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96682040608012014016010183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.7
33.233.9
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End10.6
red by 8.8
4361
#15
26.40.8
24.725.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.5
End8.2
Second
223
#12
32.80.7
32.032.8
Auto8.6
Teleop18.0
End6.1
red by 8.5
102
#26
24.20.8
22.823.6
Auto10.1
Teleop9.5
End4.6
Third
5732
#18
21.70.7
20.921.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End7.8
red by 1.2
2577
#14
20.50.8
19.820.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed