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Red43
55512.0
851320.8
86285.8
Blue56
245817.4
19327.4
694513.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396702060801001204356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8513
#33
20.80.5
21.320.8
Auto6.4
Teleop9.1
End5.3
blue by 6.6
193
#5
27.40.6
27.426.7
Auto12.2
Teleop9.4
End5.7
Second
555
#35
12.00.5
12.512.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End3.3
blue by 5.4
2458
#24
17.40.6
18.017.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.2
End5.8
Third
8628
#36
5.80.5
6.35.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop-0.7
End7.0
blue by 7.8
6945
#17
13.60.6
14.213.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
12%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsEarned