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Red85
457315.2
167645.4
1140.8
Blue120
192335.2
12545.0
48420.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110104608012014016085120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.5
45.845.3
Auto10.4
Teleop27.2
End7.8
red by 0.4
125
#4
45.00.5
44.244.6
Auto18.1
Teleop18.6
End8.3
Second
11
#1
40.80.5
41.240.7
Auto14.1
Teleop19.0
End7.6
red by 5.6
35.20.5
34.434.8
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End10.6
Third
4573
#32
15.20.5
15.615.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End3.2
blue by 5.2
484
#31
20.40.5
19.620.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End7.9