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Red95
7523.0
181122.3
436126.4
Blue115
127934.7
314229.7
573221.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72952040608012014016095115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4361
#15
26.40.4
26.026.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.5
End8.2
blue by 8.3
34.70.4
34.735.1
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End7.1
Second
75
#16
23.00.4
22.623.0
Auto7.4
Teleop9.0
End6.6
blue by 6.7
29.70.4
29.730.1
Auto10.7
Teleop10.9
End8.1
Third
1811
#11
22.30.4
21.922.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End6.5
red by 0.6
5732
#18
21.70.4
21.622.1
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End7.8