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Red98
457315.2
167645.4
1140.8
Blue81
127934.7
314229.7
573221.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119060801001201401601809881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.1
45.345.2
Auto10.4
Teleop27.2
End7.8
red by 10.7
34.70.4
35.134.7
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End7.1
Second
11
#1
40.80.1
40.740.6
Auto14.1
Teleop19.0
End7.6
red by 11.1
29.70.4
30.129.7
Auto10.7
Teleop10.9
End8.1
Third
4573
#32
15.20.1
15.115.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End3.2
blue by 6.4
5732
#18
21.70.4
22.121.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End7.8