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Red112
181227.9
180749.7
901521.6
Blue78
8718.5
162618.8
465335.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986420408012014011278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.8
46.347.1
Auto13.6
Teleop28.6
End7.4
red by 14.5
4653
#6DQ
35.20.2
33.133.4
Auto8.4
Teleop19.1
End7.8
Second
1812
#11
27.91.1
26.928.0
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End6.0
red by 9.1
1626
#27
18.80.3
18.719.0
Auto11.2
Teleop1.1
End6.4
Third
9015
#16
21.61.1
14.515.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5
red by 3.1
87
#19
18.50.3
12.713.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed28%Activation oddsEarned