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Red100
125713.9
758712.1
31647.0
Blue96
201616.1
219123.8
140339.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657320408010012014010096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#4
47.02.7
42.345.0
Auto11.4
Teleop26.7
End8.9
red by 7.6
39.42.1
32.734.7
Auto12.0
Teleop19.6
End7.9
Second
1257
#29
13.92.9
8.811.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End5.0
blue by 9.9
2191
#13
23.82.3
20.923.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.1
End6.2
Third
7587
#31
12.12.9
10.813.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 4.1
2016
#24
16.12.3
14.016.3
Auto5.8
Teleop5.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed