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Red54
30314.6
29317.2
465221.0
Blue67
562410.0
566618.5
249537.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53572030405070805467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4652
#18
21.00.3
19.419.7
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End6.6
blue by 16.3
37.31.2
30.531.7
Auto11.1
Teleop17.7
End8.6
Second
293
#10
17.20.3
15.816.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End4.9
blue by 1.4
5666
#23
18.51.2
15.116.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End6.9
Third
303
#26
14.60.3
15.415.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End5.8
red by 4.5
5624
#25
10.01.1
7.68.7
Auto2.1
Teleop4.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsEarned