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Red82
901521.6
465335.2
255417.9
Blue100
568428.5
108926.8
259040.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68992040608012014016082100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.6
33.434.0
Auto8.4
Teleop19.1
End7.8
blue by 4.9
40.00.7
35.436.1
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End6.7
Second
9015
#16
21.60.8
15.616.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5
blue by 6.9
5684
#12
28.50.7
25.926.6
Auto7.8
Teleop16.6
End4.1
Third
17.90.8
18.519.4
Auto7.4
Teleop6.1
End4.4
blue by 8.9
1089
#20
26.80.9
27.528.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed