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Red127
901521.6
249537.3
331443.9
Blue100
29317.2
465335.2
465221.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027320406080120140160127100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.8
40.441.2
Auto10.0
Teleop24.8
End9.1
red by 8.7
35.20.5
34.735.2
Auto8.4
Teleop19.1
End7.8
Second
37.30.9
33.434.3
Auto11.1
Teleop17.7
End8.6
red by 16.3
4652
#18
21.00.5
20.521.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End6.6
Third
9015
#16
21.60.8
18.118.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5
red by 4.5
293
#10
17.20.6
16.617.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End4.9