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Red123
31647.0
180749.7
566618.5
Blue105
871419.6
259040.0
140339.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124102406080140160180200123105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.1
49.249.2
Auto13.6
Teleop28.6
End7.4
red by 9.6
40.00.0
40.040.0
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End6.7
Second
316
#4
47.00.1
46.546.6
Auto11.4
Teleop26.7
End8.9
red by 7.6
39.40.0
39.339.4
Auto12.0
Teleop19.6
End7.9
Third
5666
#23
18.50.1
18.018.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End6.9
blue by 1.0
8714
#22
19.60.0
19.519.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End7.8