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Red142
901521.6
249537.3
331443.9
Blue99
689735.8
568428.5
8718.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10385406012014016014299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.8
41.242.0
Auto10.0
Teleop24.8
End9.1
red by 8.1
35.80.3
35.535.8
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End8.1
Second
37.30.9
34.335.2
Auto11.1
Teleop17.7
End8.6
red by 8.9
5684
#12
28.50.3
28.228.5
Auto7.8
Teleop16.6
End4.1
Third
9015
#16
21.60.8
18.919.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5
red by 3.1
87
#19
18.50.3
18.318.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End8.6