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Red109
901521.6
249537.3
331443.9
Blue71
181227.9
255417.9
162618.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996520408012014016010971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.4
39.439.8
Auto10.0
Teleop24.8
End9.1
red by 16.0
1812
#11
27.90.0
28.028.1
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End6.0
Second
37.30.5
32.332.8
Auto11.1
Teleop17.7
End8.6
red by 18.6
1626
#27
18.80.0
18.918.9
Auto11.2
Teleop1.1
End6.4
Third
9015
#16
21.60.4
17.117.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5
red by 3.7
17.90.0
18.018.0
Auto7.4
Teleop6.1
End4.4