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Red59
71416.3
911620.4
108926.8
Blue86
29317.2
465335.2
465221.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67772040601001201405986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#20
26.80.2
27.026.8
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End7.2
blue by 8.4
35.20.2
34.534.7
Auto8.4
Teleop19.1
End7.8
Second
9116
#21
20.40.2
20.620.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.7
End6.0
blue by 0.6
4652
#18
21.00.2
20.320.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End6.6
Third
714
#14
16.30.2
16.516.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.5
End4.7
blue by 0.8
293
#10
17.20.2
16.316.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End4.9