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Red56
218019.8
910017.1
870421.9
Blue121
180754.9
27244.4
863015.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57124010015056121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8704
#27
21.90.4
18.217.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End6.6
blue by 33.1
54.90.9
50.751.5
Auto16.0
Teleop31.4
End6.7
Second
2180
#14
19.80.4
24.023.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End6.7
blue by 24.6
272
#4
44.40.9
41.342.1
Auto14.7
Teleop21.8
End8.0
Third
9100
#31
17.10.6
19.619.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End4.6
red by 1.6
8630
#21
15.51.3
16.117.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
40%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsEarned