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Red73
622628.5
20419.0
711023.4
Blue86
171231.9
475021.9
573222.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726640506080901001107386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.3
24.424.2
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End6.7
blue by 3.5
31.91.5
24.826.4
Auto5.4
Teleop19.3
End7.2
Second
7110
#12
23.40.3
21.821.5
Auto7.4
Teleop9.8
End6.2
red by 0.6
5732
#25
22.81.5
16.418.0
Auto8.0
Teleop10.9
End4.0
Third
204
#23
19.00.4
20.520.1
Auto9.1
Teleop5.7
End4.2
blue by 2.9
4750
#24
21.92.4
21.523.9
Auto8.8
Teleop8.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsMissed23%Activation oddsMissed