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Red100
589558.3
863015.5
8725.4
Blue36
218019.8
545713.4
872115.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11445010015010036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.30.1
55.956.0
Auto13.8
Teleop34.9
End8.9
red by 38.6
2180
#14
19.81.0
22.321.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End6.7
Second
87
#9
25.40.1
24.124.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.7
End9.6
red by 10.5
8721
#30
15.01.3
13.912.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End4.6
Third
8630
#21
15.50.2
18.318.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End2.4
red by 2.1
5457
#20
13.41.3
14.413.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed