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Red100
870421.9
573222.8
181236.9
Blue112
272036.9
434239.2
511315.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions719620406080120140160100112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.7
31.433.0
Auto12.9
Teleop16.2
End7.9
blue by 2.2
39.21.3
35.036.3
Auto9.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
Second
5732
#25
22.81.7
20.422.0
Auto8.0
Teleop10.9
End4.0
blue by 14.1
36.91.3
33.735.0
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End7.7
Third
8704
#27
21.91.7
18.420.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End6.6
red by 6.4
5113
#28
15.51.3
18.419.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned