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Red134
180754.9
545713.4
589558.3
Blue107
181236.9
171231.9
692121.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1368950100150200134107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.30.2
57.757.9
Auto13.8
Teleop34.9
End8.9
red by 21.4
36.90.3
36.636.9
Auto12.9
Teleop16.2
End7.9
Second
54.90.2
54.354.5
Auto16.0
Teleop31.4
End6.7
red by 23.0
31.90.3
31.631.9
Auto5.4
Teleop19.3
End7.2
Third
5457
#20
13.40.2
12.812.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End4.0
blue by 8.2
6921
#26
21.60.3
21.321.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.8