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Red106
20419.0
622628.5
20335.3
Blue131
2548.6
910017.1
434239.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8211550100150106131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#11
35.30.4
34.835.3
Auto9.9
Teleop19.2
End6.1
blue by 13.4
25
#10
48.60.3
48.448.6
Auto12.9
Teleop27.0
End8.8
Second
28.50.4
28.028.5
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End6.7
blue by 10.7
39.20.3
38.939.2
Auto9.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
Third
204
#23
19.00.4
18.619.0
Auto9.1
Teleop5.7
End4.2
red by 1.9
9100
#31
17.10.3
16.817.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End4.6