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Red138
255911.5
27244.4
272036.9
Blue81
711023.4
36536.2
81627.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039140608012014016018013881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#4
44.40.6
45.546.2
Auto14.7
Teleop21.8
End8.0
red by 8.2
365
#17
36.20.2
36.336.0
Auto11.6
Teleop17.8
End6.8
Second
36.90.6
38.038.6
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End7.7
red by 9.8
816
#16
27.10.2
27.126.9
Auto7.1
Teleop15.1
End4.9
Third
2559
#19
11.50.6
11.612.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.8
blue by 11.9
7110
#12
23.40.2
23.523.2
Auto7.4
Teleop9.8
End6.2