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Red119
692121.6
171231.9
181236.9
Blue77
8725.4
219126.1
218019.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937520406012014016011977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.6
35.235.8
Auto12.9
Teleop16.2
End7.9
red by 10.9
2191
#18
26.10.1
26.526.4
Auto7.6
Teleop12.0
End6.5
Second
31.90.6
30.230.8
Auto5.4
Teleop19.3
End7.2
red by 6.5
87
#9
25.40.1
25.925.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.7
End9.6
Third
6921
#26
21.60.6
19.820.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.8
red by 1.8
2180
#14
19.80.1
20.220.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End6.7