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Red86
116823.7
272228.9
573222.8
Blue100
20335.3
622628.5
20419.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8085406010012014086100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2722
#15
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End8.6
blue by 6.4
203
#11
35.30.5
34.034.5
Auto9.9
Teleop19.2
End6.1
Second
1168
#13
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto6.7
Teleop12.3
End4.8
blue by 4.8
28.50.5
27.227.7
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End6.7
Third
5732
#25
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.9
End4.0
red by 3.8
204
#23
19.00.5
17.818.2
Auto9.1
Teleop5.7
End4.2