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Red117
1151.2
207027.0
83450.7
Blue88
694519.7
858815.2
167650.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119785010015020011788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#1
51.20.4
45.545.8
Auto14.6
Teleop27.3
End9.3
red by 0.6
50.60.3
47.948.2
Auto11.9
Teleop30.8
End7.9
Second
834
#3
50.70.4
38.138.5
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End7.3
red by 30.9
6945
#11
19.70.3
14.114.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End6.2
Third
2070
#23
27.00.4
24.024.3
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End3.3
red by 11.8
8588
#22
15.20.5
16.517.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsEarned