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Red100
901530.0
30321.9
811730.7
Blue81
314238.4
465230.8
870614.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757240608010012010081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8117
#10
30.71.7
29.431.1
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End9.2
blue by 7.7
38.40.9
31.832.7
Auto11.2
Teleop19.1
End8.1
Second
9015
#17
30.01.7
23.925.5
Auto10.5
Teleop11.1
End8.4
blue by 0.9
4652
#16
30.80.9
23.824.7
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End5.8
Third
303
#8
21.91.7
16.518.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End7.7
red by 7.8
8706
#31
14.11.4
12.514.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned