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Red100
207027.0
457325.0
436132.8
Blue104
83450.7
71420.2
181126.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728720406080100120140100104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4361
#13
32.82.0
27.229.3
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End8.2
blue by 17.9
834
#3
50.71.0
38.539.4
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End7.3
Second
2070
#23
27.02.0
24.326.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End3.3
red by 0.5
1811
#19
26.41.0
24.325.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End7.0
Third
4573
#12
25.02.0
17.719.8
Auto8.4
Teleop12.9
End3.7
red by 4.8
714
#30
20.21.0
16.717.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
10%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned