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Red71
334017.4
30321.9
19330.7
Blue94
811730.7
22237.9
858815.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61902040801001201401607194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#5
30.70.7
28.429.1
Auto12.5
Teleop11.4
End6.8
blue by 7.1
222
#15
37.90.9
33.033.8
Auto10.3
Teleop23.7
End3.9
Second
303
#8
21.90.7
18.218.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End7.7
blue by 8.8
8117
#10
30.70.9
31.132.0
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End9.2
Third
3340
#27
17.41.1
14.515.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End5.7
red by 2.2
8588
#22
15.21.4
17.018.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsEarned