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Red130
83450.7
314238.4
167227.3
Blue117
457325.0
901530.0
181126.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1097020406080100120140160130117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#3DQ
50.72.2
39.441.6
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End7.3
red by 20.7
9015
#17
30.00.5
25.526.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.1
End8.4
Second
38.42.2
33.435.6
Auto11.2
Teleop19.1
End8.1
red by 11.9
1811
#19
26.40.5
24.425.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End7.0
Third
27.32.2
24.526.6
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End8.9
red by 2.3
4573
#12
25.00.5
20.320.8
Auto8.4
Teleop12.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned