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Red94
30321.9
428529.6
870614.1
Blue36
71420.2
198911.9
870712.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6440020801001209436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.3
25.225.5
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End6.1
red by 9.4
714
#30
20.20.3
20.019.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End5.0
Second
303
#8
21.90.2
20.420.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End7.7
red by 9.7
8707
#29
12.20.3
11.611.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.1
End6.1
Third
8706
#31
14.10.3
11.311.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End3.8
red by 2.2
1989
#28
11.90.5
9.18.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsMissed