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Red97
870712.2
811730.7
465230.8
Blue100
114315.5
83450.7
862814.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70715060809010097100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4652
#16
30.81.4
24.325.7
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End5.8
blue by 19.8
834
#3
50.72.3
44.246.5
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End7.3
Second
8117
#10
30.71.4
30.632.0
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End9.2
red by 15.2
1143
#24
15.52.3
11.914.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Third
8707
#29
12.21.4
11.312.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.1
End6.1
blue by 2.3
8628
#26
14.62.3
9.912.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned11%Activation oddsEarned