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Red88
198911.9
181126.4
704542.0
Blue103
428529.6
19330.7
314238.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711012040608012014016088103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.2
37.238.3
Auto13.0
Teleop22.1
End6.9
red by 3.6
38.40.8
35.636.4
Auto11.2
Teleop19.1
End8.1
Second
1811
#19
26.41.2
25.026.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End7.0
blue by 4.3
193
#5
30.70.8
29.630.4
Auto12.5
Teleop11.4
End6.8
Third
1989
#28
11.91.7
8.610.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End4.3
blue by 17.7
29.61.0
26.127.1
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned