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Red118
71420.2
83450.7
22237.9
Blue124
22334.1
428529.6
901530.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118956080140160180118124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#3
50.70.2
50.450.7
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End7.3
red by 16.6
223
#21
34.10.7
33.734.4
Auto11.9
Teleop16.3
End5.9
Second
222
#15
37.90.2
37.737.9
Auto10.3
Teleop23.7
End3.9
red by 7.9
9015
#17
30.00.7
29.530.2
Auto10.5
Teleop11.1
End8.4
Third
714
#30
20.20.2
20.020.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End5.0
blue by 9.4
29.60.7
29.229.9
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End6.1