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Red80
5622.1
465230.8
457325.0
Blue104
22334.1
428529.6
901530.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8010405015020080104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4652
#16
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End5.8
blue by 3.2
223
#21
34.10.2
34.434.6
Auto11.9
Teleop16.3
End5.9
Second
4573
#12
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto8.4
Teleop12.9
End3.7
blue by 4.9
9015
#17
30.00.2
30.230.5
Auto10.5
Teleop11.1
End8.4
Third
56
#14
22.10.0
22.022.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End6.8
blue by 7.5
29.60.2
29.930.1
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End6.1