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Red56
5622.1
465230.8
457325.0
Blue0
22334.1
428529.6
901530.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8198050150560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4652
#16
30.80.5
30.930.4
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End5.8
blue by 3.2
223
#21DQ
34.10.4
32.833.1
Auto11.9
Teleop16.3
End5.9
Second
4573
#12
25.00.5
25.124.6
Auto8.4
Teleop12.9
End3.7
blue by 4.9
9015
#17DQ
30.00.4
28.629.0
Auto10.5
Teleop11.1
End8.4
Third
56
#14
22.10.5
22.121.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End6.8
blue by 7.5
4285
#7DQ
29.60.4
28.328.6
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End6.1