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Red128
71420.2
83450.7
22237.9
Blue131
55522.3
704542.0
314238.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11510150150200128131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#3
50.70.4
49.750.1
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End7.3
red by 8.6
42.00.8
39.940.7
Auto13.0
Teleop22.1
End6.9
Second
222
#15
37.90.4
37.037.4
Auto10.3
Teleop23.7
End3.9
blue by 0.5
38.40.8
36.337.1
Auto11.2
Teleop19.1
End8.1
Third
714
#30
20.20.4
19.319.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End5.0
blue by 2.1
555
#25
22.30.8
20.221.0
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End5.2