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Red88
313431.0
331323.3
327526.5
Blue97
329421.8
310245.1
448014.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67643040506080908897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.0
31.231.2
Auto6.8
Teleop25.5
End-1.2
blue by 14.1
45.11.6
40.041.6
Auto8.5
Teleop37.1
End-0.6
Second
26.50.0
24.724.7
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End-1.3
red by 4.8
21.81.6
17.619.2
Auto4.2
Teleop17.1
End0.4
Third
3313
#15
23.30.0
27.127.1
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End2.3
red by 8.5
4480
#17
14.81.6
15.817.4
Auto3.3
Teleop9.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsEarned