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Red50
25038.5
448014.8
453933.0
Blue74
767717.2
525319.2
327526.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495501001502005074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.5
31.731.2
Auto5.9
Teleop29.1
End-2.1
red by 6.5
26.50.4
24.725.1
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End-1.3
Second
4480
#17
14.80.5
17.416.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.7
End1.9
blue by 4.4
19.20.4
18.218.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End2.1
Third
2503
#13
8.50.5
8.98.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End0.2
blue by 8.8
7677
#16
17.20.4
20.420.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsMissed