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Red40
64539.9
767717.2
525319.2
Blue36
327526.5
887814.9
723517.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535902040801001201401604036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.21.4
20.619.2
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End2.1
blue by 7.3
26.51.9
25.823.9
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End-1.3
Second
7677
#16
17.21.1
21.720.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.3
Level
7235
#14
17.21.9
22.420.5
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End2.0
Third
6453
#11
9.91.2
9.48.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End1.6
blue by 5.0
8878
#12
14.91.9
16.314.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed